Report for Model 20

— for both jointly and separately

2024-11-11

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum          1       1.00
## LDevsum          1       1.00
## dh0              1       1.00
## dl0              1       1.00
## dl1              1       1.00
## dl2              1       1.00
## dl3              1       1.01
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1355.01341 24459.764
DIC3 1238.38872 21023.016
PWAIC 79.76607 1268.875
WAIC 1295.56531 21594.056

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dh0           1.01       1.03
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.01

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0
DIC 1399.72005
DIC3 1261.85042
PWAIC 95.81052
WAIC 1335.33404

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum       1.00       1.02
## dl0           1.19       1.66
## dl1           1.02       1.08
## dl2           1.18       1.64
## dl3           1.00       1.02
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.12

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L4
DIC 24355.410
DIC3 20959.399
PWAIC 1174.934
WAIC 21466.667